In contrast, official statistics on marriage and divorce rates from Vital Statistics Records are based on counts of marriages and divorces reported by the states from registration records. population experiences a marriage or divorce in a given year but cannot provide information on what percentage of marriages end in divorce for the U. For instance, by estimating the relationships among marriage, divorce, work effort, and wage rates, researchers found that being married and having high earnings reinforce each other over time.The rates are calculated by dividing the marriage and divorce totals by population estimates from the decennial census. Others looked at the how income affects the marriage and divorce decisions of young Americans; they found that high earnings capacity increases the probability of marriage and decreases the probability of divorce for young men, but decreases the probability of marriage for young women and has no effect on the likelihood of divorce.
In particular, the study focuses on differences in marriage and divorce patterns by educational attainment and by age at marriage.
This work is descriptive and does not attempt to explain causation or why marriage patterns differ across groups.
Men who earned a bachelor’s degree were more likely to marry than men with less education.
The chance of a marriage ending in divorce was lower for people with more education, with over half of marriages of those who did not complete high school having ended in divorce compared with approximately 30 percent of marriages of college graduates.
While the marriage rate for the NLSY79 cohort fell to 86.8 percent compared with 89.5 percent for the 1950–1955 cohort, the rate among college graduates slipped only slightly, from 89.5 percent to 89.0 percent, between the two cohorts.